The 145th edition of the Kentucky Derby goes down this Saturday at Churchill Downs and although it lasts just two minutes, it’s one of the most well-known sports betting events of the year. Apart from your win, set, show stakes, there’s much more activity to get in on.
So if you are new to the sport or a seasoned pro, feast your eyes on the comprehensive list of Kentucky Derby prop bets supplied by BetOnline.
For more coverage of the 2019 Kentucky Derby, check out our newest odds and our facts and trends pages. We also have in-depth profiles of the top contenders and with the preferred, Omaha Beach from the race due to an injury, the betting field is wide open.
ImprobableThe 145th running of the Kentucky Derby (G1) at Churchill Downs is on tap Saturday and it is once again time to dig into gambling trends and facts for the first jewel of the Triple Crown, looking for a few nuggets that might help us locate the winner.
Last year Justify finished one of the longest running trends, becoming the first Derby winner since Apollo in 1882 to have not raced as a two-year-old. The Bob Baffert trainee moved on to become the 13th Triple Crown winner and second in four decades to sweep the 3 classics.
Picking the winner in a field of 20 and padding the bankroll can buy you plenty of Mint Juleps on the first Saturday of May.Let’s Look at a few Derby betting tendencies:
The betting favorite has won the race in a row. The previous high was four in a row from 1972 to 1975. The typical win payout in this run is 8.90 for a $2 wager.
Beginning with Fusaichi Pegasus in 2000, the preferred has won 10 times in the previous 19 years. From 1980 to 1999 no Derby favorite won, a span of 20 years of beaten favorites.
The shortest price winning favorite in the Kentucky Derby since 1960 has been Seattle Slew, who returned just $3.00 to triumph in 1977. Throughout the run of favorites, the previous six years that the lowest payoff was Nyquist at $6.60 at 2016.
While favorites have dominated in recent decades, we have seen two $100+ winners in the past 14 years — Giacomo at 2005 paying $102.60 and Mine That Bird who returned his backers $103.20 at 2009.
The record for a 2 payoff was in 1913, Donerail returning $184.90.
The highest exacta payoff in history was in 2005, Giacomo (50-1) and Closing Argument (71-1) combining for a $2 payoff of $9,814.80.
Despite the favored winning the previous six years that the exacta payoffs throughout that time have been fairly generous–$69.60, $336.20, $30.60, $72.80, $340,00, and 981.60.
The $1 superfecta with Giacomo-Closing Argument-Afleet Alex-Don’t Get Mad in 2005 paid a record $864,253.80.
Last year Justify became the first Derby winner because Apollo in 1882 to haven’t raced as a two-year-old.
Seven of the last nine Derby winners had at least three starts as a two-year-old. The only exceptions were Animal Kingdom (2011) and Always Dreaming (2017), that each began twice as a juvenile, and Justify last year.
The record of horses at the Derby without a race as a two-year-old since 1937 is 63-1-3-5.
Nyquist (2016) became just the second horse to win both the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile and the Run for the Roses. Street Sense stopped the”Juvenile Jinx” in 2007. Game Winner looks to make it three this season.
Considering that Seattle Slew in 1977, we’ve had five star horses win the Kentucky Derby — Smarty Jones (2004), Barbaro (2006), Big Brown (2008), Nyquist (2016) and Justify (2018).
The previous time that the winning margin was less than a half-length in the Kentucky Derby was in 1999 when Charismatic won by a neck. The previous time that the Derby was decided by a nose was Grindstone in 1996.
Fusaichi Pegasus (2000) has been the largest auction cost among Derby winners at $4 million. Among the recent Derby winners who were bargains include I Will Have Another ($11,000), Mine That Bird ($9,500) and Real Quiet ($17,000).
The last winner to choose the Derby field gate-to-wire has been War Emblem in 2002. Before that, it had been the filly Winning Colors in 1988.
The previous eight Derby winners all won their final prep race. The final to not win their final prep was Super Saver in 2010 that was beaten by only a neck in the Arkansas Derby (G2).
The Florida Derby (G1) at Gulfstream Park has produced the most winners with 24. Next is that the Toyota Blue Grass (G2) at Keeneland at 23.
Within the past decade, The Santa Anita Derby and Florida Derby have each produced three winners, the Arkansas Derby (G1) at Oaklawn Park two.
Horses racing out of North America in their last start have a list of 46-2-1-0 since 1967. The two winners were Canonero (1971) who raced in Venezuela and Bold Forbes (1976) who hurried in Puerto Rico.
Horses that produced their final launch in Dubai are for 13 with no in the money finishes.
100 of the 144 runnings of the Kentucky Derby were contested over”quickly” tracks. Since 2004 the track was tagged”sloppy” five times including last year.
The busy trainer with the most wins is Bob Baffert. His winners were Silver Charm (1997), Real Quiet (1998), War Emblem (2002), American Pharoah (2015) and Justify (2018). Ben Jones leads all coaches in Derby wins .
Todd Pletcher leads all trainers with 52 Kentucky Derby starters. He saddled the winner in 2010 with Super Saver and Always Dreaming in 2017.
Notable active coaches without a Derby win include Steve Asmussen (0 for 19), Mike Maker (0 for 10), Dale Romans (0 for 10) and Bill Mott (0 for 2 ).
Three energetic jockeys have won the Derby three times, Kent Desormeaux (3-for-22), Calvin Borel (3-for-12) and Victor Espinoza (3-for-10).
Notable jockeys still searching for a Derby win include Corey Nakatani (0 for 18), Javier Castellano (0 for 12), Julien Leparoux (0 for 10) and Jose Ortiz (0 for 4).
Handicapper Michael Dempsey will be covering the Triple Crown for Odds Shark along with his full card reports with selections, analysis, fair odds line and wagering recommendations for important buys can be found each day at turfnsport.com.