NASCAR at Bristol odds, picks 2019: Model says Kurt Busch surprises at Food City 500

The 2019 Food City 500 takes place on Sunday at mythical Bristol Motor Speedway. The green flag drops at 2 p.m. ET, and each corner counts as a result of tight, steeply-banked trail where death is at a premium. Last week, Denny Hamlin grabbed his next victory of this 2019 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series season at Texas Motor Speedway. He has a win at Bristol under his belt and is recorded at 14-1 to win in the latest 2019 Food City 500 odds. But, there are six drivers with 2019 NASCAR in Bristol chances better than Hamlin, as Kyle Busch (5-2) is the favorite followed by Kyle Larson (7-1), Brad Keselowski (8-1), Joey Logano (8-1), Ryan Blaney (12-1) and Kevin Harvick (12-1). So before you make your 2019 Food City 500 picks, visit the NASCAR in Bristol predictions in the proven pc version at SportsLine.

Produced by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive data scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track record and recent results into account.

The version is off to a solid start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin a top-four contender from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers in the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano at its projected top . It was also all over Kyle Busch as a leading contender at the TicketGuardian 500 and four of those motorists at McClure’s top five went on to top-five finishes at the Auto Club 400. Anybody who has followed its selections is far up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic venues like Bristol Motor Speedway are in his bloodstream. His model mimicked the 2019 Food City 500 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For Sunday, we could inform you that the model is high on Kurt Busch, making a strong run in the checkered flag despite heading off as a long shot 14-1 NASCAR at Bristol odds.

Busch is a six-time winner in Bristol Motor Speedway and his brother, Kyle Busch (seven), has more wins in this course among busy NASCAR drivers. That comes with a victory last August at the NASCAR in Bristol race because of his 30th career success in NASCAR’s top series.

The 40-year-old veteran and 2004 series champion battled his way to the front of the package from the ninth starting position because race also has also previously come from the 27th and 13th starting places to win at Bristol. He beat Larson by 0.367 seconds last time NASCAR seen Bristol and will again start 27th on Sunday. He is off to a hot start this season too, finishing in the top 10 in all but two races. He finished second at the Clash in Daytona and third at Atlanta.

And a massive shocker: Ryan Blaney, among the best Vegas favorites in 12-1, does not even crack the top five. There are far better worth than the 12-1 premium he is controlling.

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