At 29 decades of age Martin is coming into his prime. Undefeated at Welterweight he is revealing substantial improvements in both skill and fight IQ. Martin is a BJJ Blackbelt but it is his striking that is shining recently showing good movement and a long troublesome jab. Maia is almost 42 years old but still stays dangerous. On the ground his control and submission arsenal is unmatched. He has taken substantial damage in late fights in which his inability to acquire takedowns leaves him a sitting duck. With no realistic name shot on the horizon you need to question his motivation moving forward.
Stylistically this is a fight Maia should triumph, but with the athletic and striking advantages in Martins favour the result is a lot closer than the line suggests. Maia will need early takedowns and maybe even a finish in round one. Martin should make this difficult and if he’s trapped, has got the BJJ to survive the entry strikes. Into round two will probably be at which Martin can take over as it is no secret Maia slows considerably. This Is a Great place to choose the starving young fighter at puppies odds.Drew Dober Breakdown
Dober comes into this matchup off a loss, but fought well and is showing a great deal of improvements fight to fight. He has developed his capability to compliment his quite precise striking style. Another facet to his sport is his wrestling, which he looks to blend into his offence more frequently. No world beater, but a well rounded fighter with a good chin signifies Dober matches up nicely with other reduced level fighters.
Polo Reyes is 34 years of age and his durability is presently a huge question mark. Two of his last 3 fights have finished in a bad TKO loss. He yells serious power but isn’t well rounded, as exposed by Had??ovi?? who dominated him on the floor before pounding out him. Essentially all the skill advantages are with Dober departing Reyes with few avenues to victory other than a punchers chance. The Cost is steep but this struggle should be a straight forward success for Dober
Bet = Dober in 1.31 (-325) odds. Risk 5 Components to acquire 1.55 Units.
Vinc Pichel Breakdown
This is a traditional big favourite prospect carrying a step upward snare. Roberts has a lot of hype but has neglected to spark so far against some lacklustre contest. There are a number of obvious holes in his game where he is backed up readily and holds his chin high. Pitchel is coming back after a second layoff and in 36 there is a possibility he would look skinnier. He’s got big power and will want to induce a brawl in which his durability and toughness can glow.
This ought to be a competitive match where we can’t overlook the odds on Pichel. Roberts has potential but has not revealed anything yet to warrant such a price tag. Start looking for the veteran to induce striking trades and property some power shots. A KO is potential or close decision also probably.
Bet = Pichel in 3.50 (+250) odds. Risk 2 Units to acquire 5.0 Units.