NASCAR at Bristol odds, picks 2019: Model says Kurt Busch surprises at Food City 500

The 2019 Food City 500 occurs on Sunday at mythical Bristol Motor Speedway. The green flag falls at 2 p.m. ET, and each corner counts as a result of tight, steeply-banked track where death is at a premium. Last week, Denny Hamlin captured his second victory of the 2019 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series season at Texas Motor Speedway. He has a win at Bristol under his belt and can be recorded at 14-1 to triumph in the latest 2019 Food City 500 chances. But, there are six drivers using 2019 NASCAR at Bristol chances better than Hamlin, as Kyle Busch (5-2) is the preferred followed by Kyle Larson (7-1), Brad Keselowski (8-1), Joey Logano (8-1), Ryan Blaney (12-1) and Kevin Harvick (12-1). So before you create your own 2019 Food City 500 picks, see the NASCAR at Bristol predictions from the proven pc version at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors such as track history and recent results into consideration.

The version is off to a strong start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin that a top-four contender from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano at its projected top . It was also all over Kyle Busch as a leading contender at the TicketGuardian 500 and four of the drivers at McClure’s top five went on to top-five finishes at the Automobile Club 400. Anyone who has followed its selections is far up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic venues like Bristol Motor Speedway are in his bloodstream. His version simulated the 2019 Food City 500 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For Sunday, we can tell you the version is high on Kurt Busch, who makes a strong run in the checkered flag despite heading off as a long shot at 14-1 NASCAR at Bristol chances.

Busch is a six-time winner at Bristol Motor Speedway and only his brother, Kyle Busch (seven), has more wins in this course among active NASCAR drivers. This comes with a victory last August at the NASCAR in Bristol race because of his 30th career victory in NASCAR’s top series.

The 40-year-old veteran and 2004 series champion battled his way into the front of the pack from the starting position because race also has also already come in the 27th and 13th starting places to succeed at Bristol. He conquer Larson by 0.367 seconds last time NASCAR seen Bristol and will again start 27th on Sunday. He’s off to a hot start this year also, finishing in the top 10 in all but two races. He finished second at the Clash in Daytona and third in Atlanta.

And a huge shocker: Ryan Blaney, among the top Vegas favorites in 12-1, does not crack the top five. There are far better worth than the 12-1 premium he’s controlling.

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